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The time for the housing market to spring forward



But with the Federal Reserve likely to keep interest rates on hold for the foreseeable future, there are hopes that the housing market will begin to rebound.

On Monday, the National Association of Home Builders will release the latest monthly survey of workers. Confidence has risen in February thanks to a dipping of mortgage rates, which have fallen along with the long-term bond that will result in this year.

Mortgage rates have fallen even recently due to the Fed, as well as concerns about China's economy and the latest Brexit drama. The 30-year fixed rate mortgage reached 4.31% last week, the lowest level more than a year.

"The housing market benefits from the volatility of the stock market," said Odeta Kushi, deputy chief economist at First American. "We have a ton of quicker demand than older Millennials sitting on the sidelines waiting to be homeowners. Lower rates should push up sales at home."

Kushi said that the latest work reports are great for housing, too. Although the number of jobs added is disappointing, the wages continue to rise. And it can help people who are trying to save money, so they can return home living or rent a home.

He teaches a recent rise in home construction and housing completions as another great sign. The supply is greater than it is. "The housing market remains poised for a strong spring," said Joel Kan, associate the vice president of economic and industry forecasting for the Mortgage Bankers Association, writing in its latest report on mortgage applications. The amount of loan application increased by 2.3% last month.

"We're starting to see signs of more new residential construction and inventory, which adds buying opportunities for many home buyers hampered by the continued lack of supply, "Kan added.

The latest MBA figure in mortgage applications will be released on Wednesday.

  The fears of downturn housing may be overblown

All of this can lead to a turnaround in the existing home sales numbers for February, which was released by the National Association of Realtors on Friday. 1.2% fall from December to January. But Kushi thinks they have recovered last month.

That should be good news for housing-related stocks, which is a very happy start to 2019 in the hope that the market is ready for a big return.

The SPDR S & P Homebuilders ETF ( XHB ) – which includes large workers like Lennar and Toll Brothers, as well as companies with housing relations such as Roomba vacuum maker iRobot ( IRBT ) and appliance giant Whirlpool ( WHR Seller Williams-Sonoma ( WSM ) also a member of the ETF builder, will report earnings on Wednesday. Wall Street expects sales to increase by 7% and revenue to jump to 17%.

2. Losing the balance of the balance of the Fed : The US central bank will make its final decision on Wednesday at 2 pm, and chair Jerome Powell will speak at 2:30 pm. There is no expected rate hike, so the hot topic is whether the Fed will tell about changes to the so-called quantitative tightening policy.

In 2017, the Fed has decided that the US economy is healthy enough for the central bank to begin selling off these assets gobbled up to stimulate recovery after the Great Recession. Critics say that the Fed's decision to shrink its balance contributed to economic turmoil. The Federal Reserve has issued an alert that it may halt or slow offloading a $ 4 trillion worth of assets, with investors excited.
3. FedEx and the economy: The company warned that global issues, including trade disputes and economic slowdowns, could bring a big blow under it this year. FedEx ( FDX ) reduced profit gains by 7% to 10%, with the deepest reduction in international business.

The company will post a quarterly earnings update on Tuesday after the markets are near. And given the macroeconomic issue is still a big concern, investors are in the view of how it affects one of the largest courier companies in the world.

4. The problem with Zion at Nike: This is the rip of the world heard when the Duke basketball star Zion Williamson had wounded his knee after his knee after his Nike with leading North Carolina rivals last month. This caused the loss of stock of the company. Nike said this is a "separate event", but in March Madness starting this week, another wardrobe malfunction is the last thing Nike needs.

However, Wall Street relies on good news from Nike when posting revenue after the bell on Thursday. Sales are expected to rise almost 7%. But investors pay attention to what the company says about the needs of China and Europe, given recent signs of weakening in economies.

5. Arrival this week:

Monday – Overstock.com ( OSTBP ) at Liquidators ( ) kita
Tuesday FedEx ( FDX ) DSW ( DSW ) investor day
Wednesday General Mills oil inventory inventory; Federal Reserve decision rate of interest
Thursday – Earnings from Darden's Restaurants ( DRI ) Tencent [TCEHY at Nike ( NKE ) ; Levi Strauss expects IPO; Decision rate of England bank; EU leaders are meeting to discuss the UK request to delay Brexit
Friday Tiffany & Co ( TIF ) house tax

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